Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.328436 0.381510 0.437488 0.500652 0.569665 0.642517 0.724968
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.255816 0.328494 0.410033 0.507187 0.618706 0.741683 0.886511
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.194368 0.276492 0.374428 0.497213 0.644483 0.813047 1.018162
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.159497 0.249606 0.363148 0.511855 0.696771 0.914774 1.186804
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.123996 0.215493 0.337736 0.505079 0.720619 0.981913 1.315599
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.106675 0.202777 0.337557 0.528642 0.781477 1.094422 1.500873
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.086108 0.181447 0.322582 0.530307 0.812934 1.170187 1.642032
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069759 0.163368 0.309563 0.532514 0.843742 1.244661 1.782089
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.059007 0.152367 0.305322 0.545815 0.888815 1.337571 1.946376
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051017 0.144591 0.304829 0.563727 0.939946 1.438750 2.122351
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044139 0.137437 0.304278 0.580895 0.989898 1.538798 2.297987
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035202 0.123932 0.291504 0.578185 1.010892 1.599914 2.423283
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028939 0.114855 0.285630 0.586177 1.048125 1.684754 2.582807
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022004 0.101971 0.271288 0.579444 1.063157 1.739217 2.702731
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015319 0.086857 0.250537 0.560359 1.058455 1.765629 2.784961
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012428 0.081471 0.247969 0.571265 1.098959 1.855531 2.953718
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008688 0.071195 0.233844 0.561040 1.106193 1.898105 3.058288
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007555 0.069951 0.238803 0.584508 1.166302 2.016793 3.268329
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005519 0.063582 0.231462 0.585208 1.190207 2.083552 3.407386
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.003968 0.058001 0.225023 0.586917 1.215401 2.152218 3.549557
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.003114 0.055329 0.225144 0.600717 1.260215 2.249918 3.733000
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002541 0.053831 0.227943 0.619571 1.313466 2.360464 3.935243
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002042 0.052280 0.230379 0.637710 1.365784 2.470162 4.137216